We project that in the next six weeks, the probability of a U.S. recession getting started in the next twelve months will be ...

Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

President Donald Trump’s trade policies could be setting up the U.S. economy for its first recession since the Covid crisis of 2020. The U.S. economy contracted sharply in the first quarter, according ...

Goldman Sachs updated its recession forecast on Sunday to increase the probability of a recession amid President Donald Trump's tariff war, adding that its analysis may be downgraded further if more ...

(Reuters) -Goldman Sachs on Thursday trimmed its U.S. recession probability to 30% from 35% for the next twelve months on easing uncertainty around President Donald Trump's tariff policies after the U ...

When President Donald Trump announced his sweeping tariff plans a couple of months ago, economists at J.P. Morgan put the probability of a U.S. recession at 60% because of the prospect of a global ...

Recessions are a natural part of the economic cycle that long-term investors should expect. You should prioritize having an emergency fund saved before investing during this time period. The U.S.